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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 131.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.2 plays per game.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Van Jefferson has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, playing on 64.1% of snaps vs just 52.0% last season.
  • After averaging 43.0 air yards per game last season, Van Jefferson has fallen off this season, currently boasting 18.0 per game.
  • Van Jefferson profiles as one of the worst wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 15.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 21st percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Van Jefferson rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, completing just 49.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers

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