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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

While Van Jefferson has earned 8.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Pittsburgh's pass game in this week's contest at 14.3%.

Since the start of last season, the porous Chargers defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a staggering 8.85 yards.

Since the start of last season, the weak Chargers defense has been torched for the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 5.37 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

With a feeble 13.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Van Jefferson ranks as one of the worst WRs in the game in the league.

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