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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (37.4 per game) this year.

Van Jefferson's 61.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 46.7% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.4% pass rate.

Van Jefferson's 64.3% snap rate this year indicates a remarkable growth in his offensive workload over last year's 51.9% rate.

After accruing 42.0 air yards per game last year, Van Jefferson has undergone a big decline this year, currently sitting at 26.0 per game.

With a feeble 19.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (25th percentile) this year, Van Jefferson stands as one of the worst WRs in the NFL in the league.

The Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

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