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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

Van Jefferson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 46.7% to 61.3%.

Van Jefferson's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 7.61 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 4.91 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Van Jefferson has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 64.9% of snaps vs just 52.0% last season.

After averaging 43.0 air yards per game last year, Van Jefferson has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 28.0 per game.

This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a mere 3.5 YAC.

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