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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

Van Jefferson's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 46.7% to 59.4%.

Van Jefferson's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a noteable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.9 rate.

Van Jefferson's 4.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies an impressive improvement in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 1.2% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

Van Jefferson's 63.2% snap rate this season reflects a meaningful growth in his offensive usage over last season's 52.0% figure.

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