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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects Van Jefferson to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack in this week's contest (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (7.9% in games he has played).

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's unit has been terrible last year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 52.8% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The Steelers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With a poor 7.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (7th percentile) last year, Van Jefferson stands among the bottom wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

Last year, the strong Falcons defense has given up a meager 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-fewest in football.

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