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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Van Jefferson has run a route on 91.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

THE BLITZ projects Van Jefferson to total 6.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.

Van Jefferson has been among the weakest wide receivers in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 1.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 24th percentile.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 113.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.

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