Van Jefferson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

NFL · Player Props

Van Jefferson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (71%) to WRs this year (71.0%).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus wide receivers this year, conceding 9.46 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Los Angeles Rams have utilized play action on just 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.