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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+109/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB Baker Mayfield in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Rams rank as the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.5% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.

Van Jefferson has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 87.3% of snaps vs just 74.9% last season.

Van Jefferson has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (74.0 per game).

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