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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Bryce Perkins this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Rams are a giant 16.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Van Jefferson has accrued far fewer air yards this season (57.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Van Jefferson's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 55.1% to 43.3%.

Van Jefferson's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, totaling a mere 5.54 yards-per-target vs a 7.48 mark last year.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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