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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

Van Jefferson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-518).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +334 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +290.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Van Jefferson to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the goal line this week (18.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.6% in games he has played).

Van Jefferson ranks in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) versus wideouts this year (70.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.

Van Jefferson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (63.0 per game) than he did last year (74.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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