Tyson Bagent Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tyson Bagent

NFL · Player Props

Tyson Bagent

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Tyson Bagent Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.8% run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.4 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.
The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 68.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (135 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to start backup QB Tyson Bagent.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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