Tyson Bagent Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Tyson Bagent

NFL · Player Props

Tyson Bagent

QB · Chicago Bears

Interceptions

Chicago Bears vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 5:03 AM EST

Analysis

Tyson Bagent Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-123).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears may throw the ball less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Tyson Bagent.
The most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a colossal 61.2 per game on average).
The Chicago O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
New York's defense ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season when it comes to producing interceptions, totaling a lowly 0.03 per game.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Bears being a 3-point favorite this week.
The model projects the Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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