My Account Log Out
 
 
Tyson Bagent

Tyson Bagent Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tyson Bagent Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the shaky Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a whopping 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 9th-largest rate in football.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Carolina's CB corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.4 per game) this year.
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™