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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+123/-169).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -157 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to garner 10.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among WRs.

Tyreek Hill's 78.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 66.1.

Tyreek Hill's receiving skills have gotten better this year, notching 8.0 yards per game vs just 5.6 last year.

Tyreek Hill's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 72.7% to 76.6%.

The Houston Texans safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.

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