Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tyreek Hill

NFL · Player Props

Tyreek Hill

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 95.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 95.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to accumulate 11.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Tyreek Hill has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 31.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
Tyreek Hill has totaled a colossal 136.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among wide receivers.
Tyreek Hill has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 97.0 yards per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 122.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 6.96 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.

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