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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Tyquan Thornton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+205/-285).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Tyquan Thornton to be a more important option in his team's pass game in this week's contest (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Tyquan Thornton's 46.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 50.6% rate.

The Chargers pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.6%) to wide receivers this year (63.6%).

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