Tyler Scott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Scott

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Scott

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Scott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.
This year, the shaky Vikings defense has yielded a massive 189.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-worst in the league.
The Vikings pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.4%) versus wideouts this year (78.4%).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.72 seconds per snap.
Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
Tyler Scott has run a route on 21.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 20th percentile among wideouts.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.

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