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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, Tyler Lockett is expected by the projection model to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.7 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.

Tyler Lockett's 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 75.8% rate.

The Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.9%) to WRs this year (56.9%).

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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