Tyler Lockett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-138).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
In this contest, Tyler Lockett is anticipated by the model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets.
With an elite 23.9% Target Rate (87th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
Tyler Lockett checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

This year, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a meager 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

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