Tyler Lockett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
In this contest, Tyler Lockett is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.6 targets.
With an impressive 23.7% Target% (87th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett rates as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
Tyler Lockett's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 75.8% to 72.0%.

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