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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.
  • At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • In this week's contest, Tyler Lockett is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 88th percentile among WRs with 8.4 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks this year (a measly 55.8 per game on average).
  • Tyler Lockett's 54.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a material reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 65.0 figure.
  • Tyler Lockett's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 75.8% to 71.4%.
  • Tyler Lockett's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling just 7.76 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.55 rate last season.

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