Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-104/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.62 seconds per play.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to accrue 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
Tyler Lockett has compiled significantly more air yards this season (105.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
Tyler Lockett's 66.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 91st percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

Tyler Lockett's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, notching just 2.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.74 rate last season.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 140.0) to WRs this year.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against WRs this year, conceding 7.22 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.