Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:05 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (+115/-153).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -153.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Tyler Lockett has accrued a monstrous 95.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.
Tyler Lockett's 62.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 92nd percentile for WRs.
Tyler Lockett has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 61.0 yards per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.
Tyler Lockett has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a terrific 9.84 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

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