Tyler Higbee Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 21, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-641).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With a stellar rate of 0.27 per game through the air (82nd percentile), Tyler Higbee ranks as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among tight ends since the start of last season.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Los Angeles Rams have been the most run-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 77.8% red zone run rate.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
While Tyler Higbee has earned 12.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's pass game near the end zone this week at 6.0%.

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