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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Rams defense this year, averaging 27.01 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Tyler Higbee has run fewer routes this year (87.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (69.7%).

In this week's contest, Tyler Higbee is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

Tyler Higbee's play as a receiver has declined this year, totaling a mere 3.3 adjusted catches vs 4.4 last year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.3%) vs. TEs this year (60.3%).

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