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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 66.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to total 6.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 9th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (67.4%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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