Tyler Higbee Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Tyler Higbee's 83.6% Route Participation% this year reflects a remarkable boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 69.7% figure.
Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Arizona's LB corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
Tyler Higbee's pass-catching performance declined this season, accumulating just 2.7 adjusted catches compared to 4.4 last season.
Tyler Higbee's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.6% to 63.1%.

More Tyler Higbee Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow