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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Tyler Higbee's 83.6% Route Participation% this year reflects a remarkable boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 69.7% figure.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Arizona's LB corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
  • Tyler Higbee's pass-catching performance declined this season, accumulating just 2.7 adjusted catches compared to 4.4 last season.
  • Tyler Higbee's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.6% to 63.1%.

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