Tyler Higbee Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-177/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Rams are predicted by the projections to call 65.7 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Rams have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Tyler Higbee's 84.3% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his passing attack utilization over last season's 69.7% mark.
The model projects Tyler Higbee to garner 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

The Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Tyler Higbee's receiving skills have tailed off this season, averaging just 2.8 adjusted receptions compared to 4.4 last season.
Tyler Higbee's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 67.6% to 64.0%.
The Seahawks linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to pass rush.

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