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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to earn 7.1 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among TEs.
  • Tyler Higbee has been a much bigger part of his team's air attack this year (22.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (15.5%).
  • Tyler Higbee's receiving performance has gotten better this season, compiling 5.5 yards per game compared to a mere 3.4 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Tyler Higbee's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 74.6% to 68.8%.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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