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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tyler Higbee has run a route on 84.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to garner 6.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
  • Tyler Higbee's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.6% to 67.0%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (66.1%) versus TEs since the start of last season (66.1%).

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