Tyler Higbee Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback Baker Mayfield in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Rams are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to accumulate 7.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
Tyler Higbee has been among the best TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 4.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.3 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
Tyler Higbee has been less involved as a potential target this season (69.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (85.1%).
The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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