My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to start backup QB Baker Mayfield in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Rams are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 10th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to garner 6.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams have run the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

Tyler Higbee has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (68.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (85.1%).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

More Tyler Higbee Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™