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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Tyler Higbee's 83.6% Route Participation% this year reflects a remarkable boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 69.7% figure.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Tyler Higbee has posted many more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • Tyler Higbee grades out as one of the leading TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
  • Tyler Higbee's 28.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 38.0 mark.
  • Tyler Higbee's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.6% to 63.1%.

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