Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Tyler Higbee's 83.6% Route Participation% this year reflects a remarkable boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 69.7% figure.
Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Tyler Higbee has posted many more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
Tyler Higbee grades out as one of the leading TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
Tyler Higbee's 28.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 38.0 mark.
Tyler Higbee's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.6% to 63.1%.

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