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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tyler Higbee has run a route on 84.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to garner 6.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
  • Tyler Higbee has posted a colossal 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
  • Tyler Higbee's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.6% to 67.0%.
  • Tyler Higbee's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating just 6.07 yards-per-target compared to a 7.11 rate last season.

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