Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to garner 7.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
Tyler Higbee's 36.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 30.2.
Tyler Higbee has notched quite a few more receiving yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
Tyler Higbee has put up quite a few less air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Tyler Higbee's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.6% to 66.4%.

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