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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Tyler Higbee Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+232/-365).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +241 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +232.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Tyler Higbee has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 18.8% this year, which places him in the 90th percentile among TEs.

Tyler Higbee has notched a whopping 30.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among TEs.

Tyler Higbee's 42.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 30.2.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Tyler Higbee's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 74.6% to 68.8%.

Tyler Higbee ranks in the 1st percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

More Tyler Higbee Player Props

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