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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Jets are an enormous 8.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (69.9%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (69.9%).

The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 10th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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