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Tyler Conklin
NFL · Player Props
Tyler Conklin
TE · New York Jets
Receptions
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:45 PM UTC
NFL Props Tyler Conklin Receptions

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+137/-173).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -173.

Favors Over
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to notch 5.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
  • Tyler Conklin has been among the top TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.9 receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.
Favors Under
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • Tyler Conklin has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 89.7% of snaps vs just 89.7% last season.
  • The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.
  • The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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