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Tyler Conklin
NFL · Player Props
Tyler Conklin
TE · New York Jets
Receptions
New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC
NFL Props Tyler Conklin Receptions

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Favors Over
  • The New York Jets will be starting backup QB Joe Flacco in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
  • Tyler Conklin has run a route on 75.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% pass rate.
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have used play action on a lowly 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
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