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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to earn 4.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among TEs.
  • Tyler Conklin has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 15.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
  • Tyler Conklin has been among the top pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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