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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Tyler Conklin has been among the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 5th-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The New York Jets O-line has given their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass game this week (9.7% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.2% in games he has played).

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.6%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (67.6%).

The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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