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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.49 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to earn 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Tyler Conklin has compiled significantly more air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).

Tyler Conklin's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 31.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 38.0) vs. TEs this year.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (69.1%) versus tight ends this year (69.1%).

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against tight ends this year, allowing 5.64 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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