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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-890).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -856 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -890.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • Tyler Conklin has accumulated a whopping 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among TEs.
  • Tyler Conklin's 30.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 85th percentile for TEs.
  • Tyler Conklin's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 71.7% to 80.0%.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Completion% in football (74.9%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (74.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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