Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-180/+150).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
Tyler Boyd has run a route on 91.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Tyler Boyd's receiving skills have gotten a boost this year, notching 4.9 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 3.7 last year.
Favors Under
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.