Tyler Boyd Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
With an elite 90.2% Route Participation% (85th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
Tyler Boyd has been among the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Tyler Boyd's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 73.6% to 69.3%.

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