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Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.Tyler Boyd has run a route on 91.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (77.7%) versus wideouts this year (77.7%).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 119.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.Tyler Boyd's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 73.6% to 79.2%.As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-best in football.
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