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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+139/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to accrue 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game this week (21.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.7% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have used play action on a mere 18.9% of their passing plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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