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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+137/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +146 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in football (67.8%) to WRs this year (67.8%).

The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

Tyler Boyd has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this season (12.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (17.5%).

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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