Tyler Boyd Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Tyler Boyd has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 62.6% of snaps compared to 76.1% last year.
Tyler Boyd has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a stellar 73.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in football (70.5%) versus wide receivers this year (70.5%).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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